The futures signal evidence checklist

A compact audit path for checking a provider before paying or placing a trade.

The boundary buyers miss

Start with one old call and work outward. You are testing whether the provider can show what was known at publication, whether the record keeps its losers, and whether the product boundary matches the trade you would actually execute.

What the record should show

The minimum record should identify the product or state its boundary, publication time, entry, stop, target, direction, grade or rationale, exit treatment, and source for the outcome. A screenshot can illustrate a call; it cannot establish a continuous history by itself.

How to use the test

Then test the incentives. Is pricing public? Is the provider paid by the reader or by broker sign-ups? Can a correction be made openly? Does a named source corroborate the underlying statement? These questions do not predict a winner, but they tell you whether the claim is auditable.

Bottom line

Use the five-test methodology, the provider directory, and the worked verification guide together. Stop when a missing field would change the risk or make the result impossible to reproduce.

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