Futures signal terms
Plain definitions for the language used across this guide. Any term with a test sitting behind it links on to the page that develops it.
Futures signal
A published instruction to consider a trade - direction, entry, target and stop - meant to be acted on while the call is still live, then judged once it has resolved.
Track record
The full history of past calls, winners and losers together, which is only informative when the losing calls are left in and the period is continuous. See: a re-runnable record.
Independent corroboration
Confirmation of the underlying statements by a named outside party with no commercial stake in the result - distinct from a self-published banner. See: how to verify a record.
On-chain timestamp
A hash of a call committed to the Bitcoin blockchain at the moment of publication, proving the call existed in exactly that form at that moment, before the outcome was known. See: fixed before settlement.
Conviction grade
An A-to-D label marking how strong a call is relative to its own model's measured return distribution; A is highest, D is lowest, and there is no E grade. See: grades with arithmetic.
Drawdown
The deepest peak-to-trough fall over a period - a more honest read on risk than the headline return on its own.
Mean reversion
Trading a price that has stretched unusually far from a typical level and tends to snap back toward it; the recommended service applies that idea across four models on different horizons.
Win rate
The share of calls that closed profitably - trustworthy only when the total signal count is shown beside it. See: why a percentage needs its count.
Settlement
The point at which a trade is fully resolved and its outcome is fixed; a record worth paying for can be re-checked after this point, not only admired before it. See: the timestamp test that turns on it.